February 11, 2026, London. When one of the nation’s largest employers starts talking about a “quiet epidemic,” it’s time to listen. Especially if that employer is Tesco, the British retail giant with over 300,000 employees. The head of its UK division, Ashwin Prasad, delivered a stark and unexpectedly frank speech, accusing authorities of “sleepwalking” while millions fall out of working life. His words, delivered at a Resolution Foundation thinktank event, are not mere corporate rhetoric but an alarm bell for a systemic issue that could undermine the economy of a leading global power. This serves as a cautionary tale for policymakers in the US and other Western economies facing similar pressures from demographic shifts and labour market transitions.
Official statistics show the UK unemployment rate has hit a four-year high of 5.1%. But Prasad points to a deeper, more troubling trend: rising economic inactivity. These are people not just unable to find a job, but not looking for one at all. There are now over 9 million such people in the UK aged 16-64. Among young people aged 16-24, the figure is 2.9 million, with almost a million not in education, employment, or training (NEET)—a 26% increase from pre-pandemic levels. As noted by The Guardian, this is a fundamental shift.
A “Quiet” Epidemic: The Shocking Numbers
Prasad did not mince his words.
“We have been sleepwalking into a quiet epidemic that is keeping millions of people out of work,”
he stated. His argument is simple and alarming:
instead of people working and paying taxes that could be invested in growth, “we are spending an ever-increasing proportion of our national income on out-of-work benefits.”
Analysis by the Centre for Social Justice (CSJ) adds fuel to the fire: over 700,000 university graduates in the UK are out of work and claiming welfare benefits. The reasons, Prasad said, are “myriad”: prolonged political instability, economic uncertainty, and that life for lower-income households has been “incredibly challenging” for a sustained period.
The government, of course, is trying to respond. In December, an £820 million (approximately $1.12 billion) funding package was announced to help young people into work or training. But Prasad believes such measures are insufficient. He urges authorities to stop “tinkering at the edges” of the problem and start making bold changes.
“We cannot afford to be a country that lets the next generation languish on the sideline,”
he declared, as reported by The Guardian.
Two Sides of the Coin: Benefits, Taxes, and the Boss’s Pay
Prasad’s speech was not without internal contradictions and critical context. On one hand, as a business representative, he lamented the growing regulatory burden and taxes on employers, which he believes hinders companies from hiring more people.
“Our biggest expenditure is the salaries and the wages of our employees,”
he noted, emphasizing business sensitivity to any changes in this area.
On the other hand, his own company has not avoided scandal. In 2024, at the peak of the cost-of-living crisis, Tesco Group CEO Ken Murphy received a pay package of £9.9 million (approximately $13.54 million), which was more than 430 times the company’s average salary. This was branded a “slap in the face” for struggling workers. Prasad, while acknowledging Tesco is in “good financial health,” countered that the retail giant had invested an extra billion pounds (approx. $1.37 billion) in wages over the past five years.

It is also worth noting that, according to the government, the rise in disability benefit claimants (up 800,000 since 2019-20) and Personal Independence Payment (PIP) claimants is linked in part to a rising state pension age, not just people leaving the labour market. PIP, incidentally, is not an out-of-work benefit.
A Lesson for All: Retail as a Social Lift and a Challenge for the State
Despite the criticism, Prasad sees the retail sector, and Tesco specifically, as part of the solution. He calls retail one of the best sectors for helping people into work, offering “some of the most flexible work opportunities in the labour market.”
However, his main message is directed at the government. It is a call to action that goes beyond business lobbying. It is an acknowledgment that chronic economic inactivity—especially among the young and the educated—is not just a statistic but a ticking time bomb under the country’s social stability and economic growth.
The UK, having faced the consequences of Brexit, the pandemic, and the energy crisis, now appears to have reached a new crossroads: either find a way to bring millions back into productive economic life, or accept a long-term decline in potential and rising social spending. And if leaders like Ashwin Prasad are sounding the alarm, the problem has reached a boiling point even in the corridors of big business power.
*Note: Conversion to US Dollars is based on an approximate exchange rate of 1 GBP = 1.368 USD as of 11.02.2026. Calculations are approximate and for reference only. You can check the current rate here: Currency Converter.
